Monday, December 20, 2010

游枝:朝日隨筆 哪些國家的錢值得炒

講錢的世界(9)

住香港的幾年,有過炒外幣的經驗。

炒外幣,香港人稱炒錢,是一種憑錢生更多錢的賺錢手段。

香港人,為錢,什么都炒。

買賣房屋地產叫炒樓,向股市求財叫炒股,從金市場賺錢是炒金,借了各國貨幣幣值上落的變動,買賣外國錢,有利可取,甚至是一般家庭主婦的一份收入。

我曾經跟隨鄰居買菜婆上銀行去旁觀過香港人炒外幣的風景。

這時候,錢的價值,有大流動的變化。

一、是向東流。非常大量的金錢,流向中國和印度。同樣的,中國印度的大量金錢,又流向跟中印有較密切來往的地區。如此金錢的流動,工商業興旺,錢賺錢,“資”潤了錢所流過的地區。

二、錢更值錢。

中國、印度的生意大了,錢的價值怎么壓也免不了上漲。近年來,中國人民幣面對一步步升值的國際要求,中國政府雖然盡力避開升值的壓力。

不過,只能迴避大幅度升值,人民幣幣值越來越高,這個走勢無法阻止。

印度貨幣盧比,情況沒人民幣那么吃緊,由于印度經濟發展有成,盧比的價值就跟著上漲。

過去,日本的經濟擠入世界前幾名,日元升值近200%。我有朋友醒目,日元升值前,先買下大量日元,到日元最高值時刻再賣掉,算算是用一塊錢賺多了一塊多,正是炒錢得利的例子。

中國不會像日本那么順國際要求大幅度提升幣值,但是,人民幣仍然會上升,當然也成炒的好選擇。

不止是中國印度的錢越來越值錢,資源國家,如印度巴西、澳洲、加拿大、南非這多個資源豐富的國家,貨幣價值必然節節升高。巴西的貨幣里爾、南非蘭特、印度盧比、澳元、加元,都成為熱炒對象。

1 comment:

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